India's Path to a $50 Trillion Economy by 2047: Arvind Panagariya's Vision
India’s Economic Ambition: A $50 Trillion Target
India has the potential to transform into a $50 trillion economy by 2047, according to Arvind Panagariya, Chairman of the Sixteenth Finance Commission. Speaking at the India@100 Economy Summit 2024, Panagariya emphasized that with the right strategies, India could surpass its current growth trajectory and achieve this ambitious goal.
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Leveraging Demography and Geopolitical Advantages
Panagariya highlighted India’s young population and favorable geopolitical environment as key drivers for economic expansion. The demographic dividend offers a unique opportunity for sustained growth, provided the country effectively harnesses its workforce potential. The geopolitical landscape, particularly the West's China Plus One strategy, positions India as an attractive alternative for global manufacturing, further boosting its economic prospects.
Per Capita Income: A Critical Metric
India's per capita income, which stood at ₹2.12 lakh in 2023-24, is projected to rise to ₹14.9 lakh by 2047. This substantial increase is crucial for lifting millions out of poverty and enhancing living standards across the nation. Panagariya stressed that this growth in per capita income is essential for India to close the gap with advanced economies and reach its $50 trillion target.
China Plus One: India’s Strategic Advantage
The China Plus One strategy, adopted by many Western nations, is creating new opportunities for India. This approach encourages diversification of supply chains away from China, making India an attractive destination for global investment.
The Need for Labour-Intensive Industries
Panagariya also pointed out the importance of developing labour-intensive industries to fully utilize India’s vast workforce. The implementation of new labor codes, along with reforms in land policy, is crucial to overcoming barriers in these sectors. These reforms are expected to pave the way for the emergence and expansion of industries that could drive India’s economic growth.
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